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Sustainability

ESG Strategist - Assessing the impact of joining the NZBA on banks’ bond spreads

In April 2021, the United Nations Environment Programme Finance Initiative (UNEP FI) formed the Net-Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA), an initiative that brings together banks across the globe committed to align their lending, investment, and capital markets activities with net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. By signing the NZBA, banks are committing, amongst other things, to (1) transition the operational and attributable GHG emissions from their lending and investment portfolios to align with pathways to net-zero by 2050 or sooner, and, (2) within 18 months of joining, set targets for 2030 or sooner, and a 2050 target, with intermediary targets to be set every 5 years from 2030 onwards. By committing to a net-zero pathway and subsequently setting decarbonization targets, a bank is not only signalling its commitment to sustainability to investors, but is also committed to decrease its exposure to climate risks. This can be done by either divesting from polluting companies or by assisting its high-emitting clients to reduce their own emissions. As such, signing to the NZBA might be supportive of the bank’s outlook, and, as consequence, of the banks’ bond spreads. In this note, we aim to understand whether signing to the NZBA (referred to as “the event” from now onwards) had an effect on signatory banks’ bond spreads. Using a fixed effects model, we calculate the direction and significance of signing to the NZBA on banks’ bond spreads. The note follows as: in the second section, we explain the sample and the methodology. In the third section, we present the results and interpret them, and elaborate on the limitations of our research. And, in the final section, we conclude.

Marta TeixeiraGiovanni Gentile(+1)10/10/2024
Sustainability

ESG Economist - Hydrogen revolution seriously challenged

Hydrogen has an important role to play in the energy transition. Renewable hydrogen is identified as one of the most critical technologies to bring down emissions by replacing fossil fuels in sectors that have high mitigation cost for other alternatives, such as hard-to-abate sectors. It can also be used as a clean substitute to natural gas and replace fossil-based hydrogen that is already been used for transport and industrial processes. Additionally, clean hydrogen is one of the solutions to the storage problem (see our report here on energy storage), where it can be used as a mean to store (long-term and large-scale) excess power from renewable resources. The storage potential of hydrogen is particularly beneficial for power grids, as it allows for renewable energy to be kept not only in large quantities but also for long periods of time. This means that renewable hydrogen can help improve the flexibility of power systems by balancing out supply and demand when there is either too much or not enough electricity being generated, helping to boost energy efficiency and the integration of renewables throughout the EU. Furthermore, green hydrogen could play an advantageous role in energy security since domestic renewable capacities can be complemented by a wider range of potential suppliers than fossil fuels. There are several factors governing the development of renewable hydrogen, namely: the technical readiness level of the technologies, the development of renewable capacity, the cost of generating renewable electricity, the cost of the electrolysers, the availability of supportive infrastructure, capacity factors, having a sufficient level of demand, and the accessibility of finance at a reasonable cost (more on these factors below). These factors could differ widely between countries and thus affect their hydrogen development. In this article we dive into the role of green hydrogen (hydrogen produced from renewable sources) in the transition and try to answer the following questions: Why is green hydrogen important for the transition? What is the plan and targets for renewable hydrogen in the EU? Where are we now? What are the challenges? We end with a conclusion.

Georgette BoeleMoutaz Altaghlibi(+1)08/10/2024

Flagship Publications

Sustainability

ESG Strategist - How exposed are companies and banks to biodiversity risks?

Biodiversity stands for biological diversity. The loss of biodiversity translates into the loss of services provided by ecosystems to the real economy. There are two types of risks associated with biodiversity: physical and transitions risks. Physical risks stem from the loss of biodiversity (for instance, disappearance of animal pollinators, like bees), and transition risks stem from regulations/policies introduced by regulators to mitigate biodiversity loss (such as the introduction of a tax on fertilizers or the implementation of Natura 2000). Physical risks are captured by how much a sector depends on biodiversity (e.g. agriculture depends a lot on animal pollinators, like bees). And transition risks are captured by how much a sector impacts biodiversity (i.e. the more damage a firm causes, the more likely it is to be hit by policies acting against it). The ENCORE database provides qualitative assessments for each sector and sub-sector on their exposure to biodiversity risks and we use these to calculate quantitative biodiversity sector exposure scores. As per existing regulation, banks are required to report their loan book exposure per sector, according to the NACE categorisation. Hence, by combining banks’ loan book exposure per sector and sector scores on biodiversity dependence and impact, we were able to calculate individual banks’ exposure to biodiversity loss risks. Furthermore, we used Natural Language Processing to assess a bank’s awareness of its balance sheet exposure to biodiversity risks.

Marta Teixeira31/10/2023

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